Friday, 24 January 2014

Answers of Opinion Polls Really Matter?


Answers of Opinion Polls Really Matter?
With elections due to start soon, poll experts are searching at various ways to determine the winner of India’s common elections, due to be held in 2014. The Election Commission of India had asked for all political parties in India to make clear, their stance on the need for pre-election polls and its legitimate authority. Opinion polls are not allowed 48 hours prior to voting.
The Congress party, which had given a letter stating that it supported opinion polls, has now modified its view and desired to limit pre-election polls, after viewpoint polls show that it could lose the upcoming assembly elections. This is now being seen as a way to curb democracy, and the party is being criticized for its change.
The CNN-IBN-The Week survey had displayed that if elections were to be held today, the UPA determine would go down to between 134-142 seats against the NDA’s 187-195 seats. The Congress would win among 116 to 124 seats as against the BJP’s 171 to 179 seats.
While the Bharatiya Janata Party is in opposition to the idea, several regional parties are in favor of prohibiting the opinion polls. The Congress party’s sudden change in its stance is being seen as a way to curb any bad news that reflects its party’s poor efficiency. The party’s disappointment over the estimated figures is evident in its attitude of the opinion polls. The Congress party’s general secretary, Digvijaya Singh, said: “Opinion polls have become a joke. They should be completely banned. Considering the number of complaints I have received, everyone is paying money and conducting a survey. No one is questioning the authenticity of these polls.”
Surveys and opinion polls have been a part of India’s elections for close to two decades. The Congress feels that the results can be quickly controlled, and lack reliability as they have no methodical basis. They believe that viewpoint polls can misinform the general public, which could affect any party’s votes, and thereby the election.
Various surveys done lately by different media houses, shows the BJP leading the polls, with the Congress lagging far behind. The BJP’s candidate Narendra Modi is being seen as a clear winner of the elections, compared to a weak and inefficient government that has done nothing to slow down high inflation, and has been involved in several corruption relevant scams.
Experts feel that opinion polls do matter and can be correct, despite the fact that at times, they tend to go off the mark. Given the sizing of India and the significance of local leaders, it might be a little bit challenging to estimate a clear winner. However, if various surveys show the same result, then there can be no sign of adjustment. It can only mean that the people have made the decision.............read more and gave your opinions its very important friends...

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